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10 Predictions for the Wisconsin Basketball Season

Wisconsin Basketball is starting on Friday. Here are 10 predictions to get you ready for the season.

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1. Kobe King will be Wisconsin’s second leading scorer

Even though King may not start a game for the Badgers this season, he is the most offensively gifted guard on the roster. He can score in so many different ways that it makes him nearly impossible to defend. He can drive, shoot three-pointers, post-up, and attack in transition. Oh, and then there is his prolific mid-range game, which will give hoops fans flashbacks to the second best Kobe basketball player of all time. We’ve seen him put up points in Australia and all the scrimmages. Now, it is time for him to show the college basketball world what he can do.

2. Ethan Happ will lead the team in points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks

Last season, Happ led the the Badgers in all of those categories except for points, which Bronson Koenig took by just .5 points per game. Now, he will almost certainly be the leading scorer. He has also shown improved passing out of double teams, which should lead to even more assists. The only real questionable one is blocks, which Khalil Iverson has a chance to take now that he is a full-time starter. But a stat-line of 15 points, 9 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 2 steals, and a block is very doable for the All-American Happ.

3. Wisconsin finishes their brutal non-conference schedule 9-3

Wisconsin’s non-conference schedule is loaded this season. They face No.17 Xavier at home, Virginia and Temple on the road, top mid-majors Yale and Western Kentucky, in-state rival Marquette, and a Hall of Fame Classic Field featuring No. 24 Baylor, No. 21 UCLA, and Creighton. Every single one of those game is very losable. However, every single one of those games is also very winnable. While the Badgers play a lot of tough teams, none of them can really be considered elite. That is ideal, because they should have a chance to rack up a ton of quality, top-50 level wins before January.

4.Wisconsin will not finish fourth or better in the Big Ten

I know. I know. But all good things have to come to an end at some point, right? As much as we all fooled ourselves into thinking otherwise, we all knew that the streak couldn’t possibly last forever. With how much Wisconsin is losing combined with how good the Big Ten is this season, it seems like the perfect storm that will finally end one of the most impressive streaks in college basketball. I think Wisconsin will be a good team. But the top four teams in the Big Ten- Michigan State, Purdue, Northwestern, and Minnesota- look like they are on another level. The Badgers could potentially play their way into a tie for fourth like they did in 2015-16, but gun to my head, I say they finish fifth.

5. Khalil Iverson is going to have a breakout season

Iverson is an athletic freak of nature. He has ridiculous strength and hops, along with an uncanny ability to always be around the ball. But up until this point, he hasn’t been able to produce much on offense. This season, that will change. His shot looks a lot better than it did last season. It is softer and has a lot more arc. With improved outside shooting, the rest of his game will open up too. Last season, in games where Iverson played 20 minutes, he averaged eight points. Now, he’ll play more than 20 minutes per game every game, with an improved offensive arsenal. He can easily be a double-digit scorer for the Badgers.

6. Alex Illikainen will completely fall out of the regular rotation

Illikainen has really struggled in his Badger career so far. The former four-star recruit came to Wisconsin with comparisons to Jon Leuer, but his confidence is just not there. He is hesitant to shoot, which leads to a lot of misses and turnovers. Even in preseason games against lesser competition, he hasn’t looked good. At this point, it is clear that Andy Van Vliet and Charles Thomas are ahead of him. I also think that Aleem Ford will pass him at some point too. By season’s end, Illikainen may be reserved for mop-up duty.

7. Announcers will remind us every game that Brad Davison and D’Mitrik Trice were high school quarterbacks

In 2013-2014, announcers loved to tell us that Frank Kaminsky only averaged 4.2 points per game his sophomore season. The next season, they told us all about how Nigel Hayes hadn’t attempted a single three-pointer as a freshman. The last two seasons, it was “Did you know Ethan Happ played against Frank Kaminsky in practice as a redshirt freshman?” Now what will the annoying anecdote that announcers repeat every single game be? My best guess is that they won’t stop reminding us that Davison and Trice were high school quarterbacks. But who knows? Maybe they’ll make it a third straight season of talking about Happ guarding Frank in practice.

8. Wisconsin will receive a better NCAA Tournament seed than last year

Despite the fact that they’ll likely finish with a worse conference standing than last season, I think Wisconsin’s Big Dance seed will improve. As stupid as it was, Wisconsin was hurt by their lack of quality wins last season. The Big Ten was down, and their non-conference schedule turned out to be pretty lackluster. This season, Wisconsin should be able to rack up a bunch of quality wins, both in non-conference and conference play.

9. Wisconsin will finish their end of season stretch of four ranked teams 3-1

The last four games on Wisconsin’s schedule are vs No. 20 Purdue, vs No. 15 Minnesota, at No. 19 Northwestern, and vs No. 2 Michigan State. That is a brutal way to end the regular season. But luckily, Wisconsin will be playing their best basketball at the point. The sky’s the limit for this Badgers team. There is a ton of young talent surrounding one of the best players in America. With 25 games under their belt, Wisconsin should be able to compete with any team in the country. I think they’ll go 3-1 in those games, giving them the momentum to make runs in both the Big Ten and NCAA Tournaments.

10. We are going to have a lot of fun watching this team

Yes, it is going to be really weird watching Wisconsin Basketball without Bronson Koenig, Nigel Hayes, and Zak Showalter. Those three guys are going to go down in Wisconsin Basketball history, especially the former two. But there is something exciting about all of the new faces and names. The possibilities are endless. This team is going to be a really good shooting team, with guys like Pritzl, Trice, Davison, King and Van Vliet all deadly from beyond the arc. Happ is one of the most fun players to watch in the country, with his crazy footwork. And now he can apparently shoot three pointers too?

Add in Khalil Iverson monster dunks and Brad Davison driving opposing fan bases nuts and this should be a super fun team to watch. There is a lot of talent on this roster, and watching them develop and grow over the course of the year will be very interesting. Sure, they will probably lose some games they shouldn’t. But they’ll also win some they shouldn’t. It’s going to be an exciting season, and I can’t wait to watch them play.

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Badgers Basketball

Late-game slump does in Badgers basketball against MSU

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It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. Unfortunately for the Wisconsin Badgers, the worst of times came down the stretch in a 67-59 loss to No.11 Michigan State at the Kohl Center.

The Badgers led by as many as 7 points in the first half, but went over 5 minutes without scoring single point to end the second half and the Spartans were able to take full advantage.

Wisconsin trailed 57-56 with 5:20 to play after a made free throw from Brad Davison.

MSU went on an 8-0 run during that time and opened up a commanding 9-point lead with 15 seconds to play. Davison stopped the bleeding a bit with a three-pointer to make the score 65-59, but with 10 seconds to go the game was well over already.

Ethan Happ went over the 2,000-point mark in the loss, scoring a team-best 20 points on 10-20 shooting from the field. He also added 12 rebounds for another double double on the year and his career record 48th.

Michigan State was led by guard Cassius Winston with 23 points, while Kenny Goins and Nick Ward added 12 points a piece for the victors.

Turning Point: That Second-half slump

It’s funny how things can change in the game of basketball. I could’ve easily been writing about McQuaid’s flagrant foul and the ensuing 9-2 run that gave Wisconsin a 7-point lead in the first half.

Michigan State played catchup for a big amount of time from that point forward.

But, none of that turned the game to the result that actually happened. Instead, it was the most frustrating thing to watch — a team with plenty of chances just squandering them left and right.

That’s what happened over the course of the final 5:20 of the game. It was a combination of going ice cold from the field and playing some truly bad defense that saw this game flip on its head.

Stats That Mattered Most:

40-28: Michigan State outrebounded Wisconsin 40-28 on Tuesday night. You can’t win games when you go cold from the field and can’t grab a rebound on the other end either. When you are shooting 1 percent different than your opponent this type of stat really matters.

14-7: That rebounding advantage was also 10-6 on offensive rebounds and MSU got a 7-point advantage in second chance points on the game. Again, in an 8-point loss this is a big deal.

2-10: Wisconsin was 2 of 10 from beyond the arc in the second half of this game after shooting 4 of 10 in the first half. Simply put, the Badgers couldn’t find quality shots from beyond the arc and they also put up some really bad looks from deep thanks to MSU’s suffocating defense.

Bottom Line:

This was a must-have game for the Badgers if they wanted a real chance to compete for a Big Ten regular season title. So, kiss that opportunity good bye.

Wisconsin going through major shooting slumps is nothing new, but this was the worst example of what happens when that is combined with horrible transition defense.

This loss also sets up an interesting question for this team heading down the final stretch of the regular season. Will this in-game slump situation fix itself or will it sink this team’s postseason hopes?

If the final 5 minutes of this game were any indication, the Badgers are in some deep trouble come the Big Ten and NCAA tournaments.

Up Next:

Wisconsin will take on Illinois at home on Monday, Feb. 18 at 7pm CT on FS1.

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Badgers Basketball

Matthews powers Michigan past Badgers

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No. 19 Wisconsin came in red-hot, while the No. 7 Michigan Wolverines were limping through the middle of the Big Ten slate. All of that stopped as Charles Matthews poured in 18 points and led his Wolverines to a 62-51 victory over the Badgers.

It was a big of revenge served ice cold late in the contest, as UW made just one basket in the final 4:16 of the game and it allowed the Wolverines to slowly take control of the game.

Michigan used an 8-0 run over the final 90 seconds of the game to give them full control of the game.

Matthews wasn’t the only threat that helped the Wolverines in the win. Jon Teske had 17 points and 12 rebounds going up against Ethan Happ. Michigan also got 10 points from Jordan Poole in the winning effort.

Happ led the Badgers with 18 points and 11 rebounds, but he had just 4 points in the second half as Teske really shut him off from being able to dominate down low.

No other Badger reached double figures in the loss.

Turning Point: The Final 4:16

There’s nothing more frustrating than watching victory slip right through your fingers and you can’t seem to hit the broad side of the barn in the process.

Happ’s layup with 4:16 left in the game pulled the Badgers within one point at 51-50 and the back-and-forth nature of the game seemed to continue. But, the Badgers failed to score again until Brad Davison got a layup to make the game 59-52 with just 7 seconds left to play.

By then, Michigan had blown the game wide open and UW’s hopes for a season sweep of the Wolverines had gone by the wayside.

During that scoreless stretch, the Badgers were 0-5 from the field, turned the ball over once and just never got the offense flowing.

Credit a lot of the trouble to Michigan’s defense though, because they smothered UW most of the day.

Stats That Mattered Most:

5: Wisconsin managed just five assists for the entire game compared to 11 for Michigan. That indicates a lot of one-on-one basketball and that is not how the Badgers win basketball games.

19: Michigan and Wisconsin tied on the day with 30 rebounds a piece, but the hosts outrebounded the Badgers 19-14 in the second half. Wisconsin only had 2 second chance points in the half and just 3 offensive rebounds. You can’t get cold and not get rebounds and expect to win.

2: That is the number of free throw attempts for the Badgers in the entire game. Considering they played through Happ a lot early on, this number is surprising and not helpful towards winning ball games either. On the flip side, Michigan had just 9 free throw attempts, but went 7-9 on those limited attempts.

Bottom Line:

We all knew that the big run by the Badgers was going to eventually end. How this game ended was a gut-punch though, as UW showed it could go toe-to-toe with Michigan on the road only to go ice cold from the field.

It’s hard not to feel like this was an opportunity lost. UW came in just one game out of the top of the Big Ten, but this loss and an impending date with Michigan State could mean a quick end to the hopes for a regular season title.

Going forward, the Badgers have to put the bad ending behind them and show it was a blip instead of a pattern.

Wisconsin will host Michigan State on Tuesday at 6pm on ESPN2.

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Badgers Basketball Preview: 5 things to know vs. Maryland (2nd edition)

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It’s that time of the Big Ten season already for the Wisconsin Badgers..and by that we mean it’s time for the return matchups to begin.

The first of which will be a huge battle between two top 25 programs, with No. 21 Maryland coming to the Kohl Center to take on No. 24 Wisconsin.

Last time these two teams met, the Badgers dug a deep hole and nearly climbed all the way out of it in a 64-60 loss in College Park, Md.

Can home court advantage come in to play again and who will assert themselves smack dab in the middle of the Big Ten title race?

We’ve got 5 things to know for this matchup, so let’s dig in to that.

5: Maryland is about to start a 5-game stretch against teams in the Top 30 of the NET rankings

Friday night starts the gut-check time for both the Wisconsin Badgers and Maryland Terrapins, but more so for the Terps who will face five straight games against teams in the top 30 of the NET rankings.

Following tonight’s contest it will be a trip to Nebraska, home to Purdue, at Michigan and at Iowa. That’s a brutal stretch outside of a Nebraska team that seems to be in trouble without their star senior Isaac Copeland.

As for Wisconsin, things are easy for them either. In fact, three of the next four games are against ranked opponents in Maryland, Michigan and Michigan State. The only game not against a ranked opponent isn’t easy either as UW travels to Minnesota.

It’s safe to say, getting off on the right foot is going to be very important both teams making a positive move up the Big Ten standings.

4: Maryland leads the series with 4 wins since joining the Big Ten

While this is a fresh series in the grand scheme of the Big Ten’s history, arguably no series has been more heated since Maryland joined the conference than the one with the Badgers.

That’s because Maryland has four wins over Wisconsin since joining the B1G, but they also are just 4-3 overall in the seven games as a conference member.

A win by Wisconsin would mean a 4-4 overall mark between the two teams and dare I say they are indeed basketball rivals of the Badgers? Given how intense most of these games have been, this isn’t a far stretch.

In the seven games in conference play, the average win is by 6.7 points per game no matter the winner. So, expect a hard-fought and close battle.

3: Bruno Fernando has had 3 fouls in just 5 games this season

If you were paying attention to the last game between Wisconsin and Maryland, then you know Bruno Fernando was a big player in that game. Not only was he a big scoring threat, but his foul trouble in the second half allowed the Badgers to get back in to the game.

It was no coincidence that UW’s big comeback happened with Fernando on the bench with 4 fouls.

Fernando is no stranger to foul trouble and that’s why I point out the fact that he’s recorded 3 fouls just five times in 22 games to date. He’s fouled out just once, but has recorded more than 3 fouls in eight games.

Given the battle that is likely to happen down low between Fernando and Happ once again in this matchup, keeping Fernando on the floor and out of foul trouble is going to be huge.

2: Ethan Happ has just 2 double doubles in the last 5 games

It may sound crazy to say “just” 2 double doubles for a player in any given time, but earlier this year Happ was a near-lock for a double double. In fact, he had double doubles in 9 of the first 12 games including one triple double to start the season.

His work has slowed as of late and it really started with a rough game the last time out against Maryland. Happ finished with 10 points and 8 rebounds, which isn’t terrible my most standards, but not by Happ’s.

Let’s not forget he was just 5-10 from the field and has 4 personal fouls.

That can’t happen against the Terps top line in this matchup and expect the Badgers to win.

Oh, and did we mention that sophomore big man Nate Reuvers happens to love playing against the Terps? He set a then career-high with 18 points in that game, but has since topped it (all within the same five game stretch).

1: Wisconsin leads the Big Ten in 3-point shooting

Yes, this stat will continue to be important, as the Badgers are shooting 39.9 percent as a team from beyond the arc. It’s equally important to this matchup, because the last time Wisconsin failed miserably from the 3-point line, missing the first 10 of those shots.

Eventually the Badgers got hot and finished the game 11-30 from beyond the arc. But, they can’t get off to a slow start on the perimeter in this one and expect to lean exclusively on Happ and Reuvers in the post.

Maryland is too good on the inside to not force them to defend the perimeter and work hard there too. Reuvers recent ability to hit from deep on a consistent basis should also be a huge help in spreading out the Terps.

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Badgers pass road test at Nebraska

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In a game of big runs, it was the No. 24 Wisconsin Badgers who had the final big one as they took down the Nebraska Cornhuskers 62-51 in Lincoln.

After watching a 13-point first half lead go to single digits and then the lead completely slip away early in the second half, Wisconsin woke up just in time to make an 8-0 run to go up 45-40 around the midway mark of the second half and that was all she wrote in this one.

The win is Wisconsin’s fourth straight, while Nebraska has lost four straight. Wisconsin also improves to 3-2 all-time at Pinnacle Bank Arena.

Brad Davison was a large part of steadying the ship in the second half, as he scored 10 of his team-high 13 points in the second frame of the game.

Ethan Happ and Nate Reuvers joined Davison in double figures with 10 points each.

The Badgers opened up what was a close game with a 14-0 run over the course of just about five minutes. UW was up 21-8 on a Khalil Iverson layup with 9:00 left in the half.

Nebraska answered with a 13-7 run the rest of the way to make it a single digit 28-21 lead at halftime.

Despite Brevin Pritzl hitting the final shot of the half, it was the Huskers who came out firing after halftime. The used a 9-2 run and then a 9-0 run early in the second half to take a 35-32 lead.

From there, the two teams traded big shots and quick swings in the scoreline until an 8-0 run and then a 7-0 run shortly after sealed the deal for the visitors.

Turning Point: Wisconsin’s 8-0 2nd half run

Sometimes it takes one punch, other times it takes wearing an opponent down and hitting him with a final flurry. That’s what happened for the Badgers, who squandered a 14-0 run in the first half and took two 9-point runs by the Huskers in the second half.

It all added up to a team on the brink of disaster. However, the Badgers steadied themselves and came up with an 8-0 run of their own in the middle of the second half.

What was a back-and-forth affair became a 5-point lead for Wisconsin once again.

All of that work by the Huskers to not only get back in the game, but actually take a lead and it was quickly erased once again. That was the Badgers rope-a-dope if you will, wearing the Huskers out and landing a final flurry that put them over the edge.

The Huskers simply couldn’t find the answer to get right back in the game and that was all she wrote for the hosts.

Stats That Mattered Most:

.333: We’ve already talked about the Huskers struggles on offense, but shooting just 3 of 9 on layup opportunities in the first half is a perfect illustration of what was going on.

7: Happ only had 10 points, so how did the Badgers win? By having seven different players score in the game and of those seven players, six of them had eight or more points. While it wasn’t always great, getting that mix of offense was the formula for success in this game and could be the experience needed during some difficult upcoming matchups.

4: The Badgers defense has been a major story during this winning streak, that was the case on Tuesday night as UW allowed just 4 of 20 shooting from beyond the arc. Combine that number with nine makes on the other end of the court and you have a very difficult formula for teams to overcome.

The Bottom Line:

Wisconsin came in hot, looking like a team that has found its groove and the Huskers were reeling from the loss of star Isaac Copeland. Adding to Nebraska’s misery in a place in which the Badgers haven’t always had success was a nice touch considering the upcoming schedule.

It may be a cliché to say any road win is a good win, but this certainly holds true in a league in which anyone seems like they can win on any given night (sorry Penn State).

Nebraska took Wisconsin’s big punch, punched back and the Badgers gave the final knockout punch. That’s a mark of teams with confidence and poise.

Watching this game and seeing a team effort on offense, great defensive production for the vast majority of 40 minutes and making quick adjustments to bad situations was massive.

Getting a four-game win streak going heading in to a stretch of Maryland, Minnesota, Michigan and Michigan State in the next four games is huge for confidence.

We’ll see if this type of win translates to teams in the upper division with the Badgers.

Up next is a Friday night contest at the Kohl Center with No. 21 Maryland. Tip is scheduled for 8pm CT on FS1.

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